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Eth supply drop vs price: what's really going on?

ETH Supply Drop | Price Stagnation Raises Questions

By

David Mbana

Nov 28, 2025, 02:27 PM

Edited By

Peter Brooks

Updated

Nov 29, 2025, 03:52 AM

2 minutes needed to read

Graph showing decreasing Ethereum exchange reserves with a flat price line

As Ethereum's exchange reserves decrease, analysts are puzzled by stagnant prices. Insights from JourneyMacro note this mismatch and highlight concerns about market manipulation as prices remain unaffected by dwindling supply.

Exchange Reserves Continue to Decline

CryptoQuant reports a steep decline in ETH on spot exchanges. JourneyMacro provided visual data, indicating a troubling disconnect: "If supply on exchanges keeps falling and price keeps going down then something else is going on."

Market Sentiment: A Dark Cloud?

Retail sentiment appears grim. One comment echoes this frustration, remarking that the ongoing price issues hurt retail investors worst, killing trust in ETH as a stable store of value in the short term. As one put it, "People selling ETH to buy AI" reflects the strife many feel in this market.

Manipulation Concerns Intensify

Widespread speculation suggests that larger players are using strategic sell-offs to drive prices down during less active trading hours, known as 'bear raids.' As one user noted, "Anyone who has watched ETH drop suddenly on a quiet Saturday knows something is up."

Responses to Downward Pressure

Amidst the chaos, Tom Lee's proposed $800 million "war chest" to stabilize the market garners attention. Critics assert that a single effort won’t be enough. Observers assert that more active market players are vital to counter these coordinated selling tactics. As expressed, "Just keep buying when it dips" encapsulates a hopeful strategy among some investors.

Key Insights and Sentiment Trends

  • Market Manipulation: Persistent conspiracy theories about organized selling tactics resonate with many.

  • Retail Investors Hit Hard: Negative sentiment lingers, especially among smaller players.

  • Optimism Amid Uncertainty: Despite difficulties, some maintain that ETH remains central to the future of DeFi.

Interestingly, the absence of market reaction to shrinking supply suggests deeper issues at play. With ETH navigating turbulent waters in 2025, the long-term price trajectory remains unclear. What will it take for prices to finally respond to supply changes?

Looking Ahead: The Future of ETH

Experts suggest a potential rebound, estimating a 60% chance that prices stabilize if new participants enter the market. Yet, if manipulation persists, the risks for retail investors heighten. The ongoing situation brings to mind past market bubbles, raising questions about stability and resilience in the evolving DeFi ecosystem.

For more in-depth Ethereum insights, check out CryptoQuant and follow JourneyMacro on Twitter.