One Year In | Trump’s Presidency & Shifting Crypto Sentiment

The crypto world is feeling the heat as sentiment dips one year into Donald Trump's presidency. Following his election victory on November 6, 2024, optimism surged, but now the mood is swingin' the other way. It’s a rollercoaster ride of emotions that has many wondering what's next for digital currencies.

Shift in Sentiment: A Timeline

After Trump's election, the market mood flipped to a risk-on stance, peaking by January 7, 2025, as hopes for better regulations grew. However, post-inauguration, the optimistic spirit gradually faded. Over time, crypto rallies were shorter and recoveries struggled.

Key Events Impacting Sentiment

• October 23, 2025: Trump pardoned CZ, a significant moment that many expected to lift sentiment. Instead, it sunk below the election baseline.

• January 22, 2026: Current sentiment continues to trend downward, resembling exhaustion as positive signals yield diminishing returns.

"The lower that drops, the more I want to add to my bags for the launch." - A sentiment echoing throughout the forums.

What Are the Users Saying?

1. Disappointment over market performance persists:

• "I’m so tired of enjoying 3 days of green at 10 percent and watching red for three weeks"

1. The buy-the-rumor strategy surfaces:

• "Classic buy the rumor, sell the news."

1. The overall frustration is palpable:

• "Nothing to see here."

Takeaways from the Forum Discussions

• ⚠️ Fatigue in the Market: Sentiment has shifted from fear to exhaustion.

• 🔄 Buying Opportunities: Many seem willing to invest in the dip.

• 💬 Sentiment Analysis: Each positive news has less impact, highlighting a growing indifference among crowd emotion.

As of January 2026, sentiment trends are alarming, pointing towards possible exhaustion rather than fear. Investors remain on the edge, contemplating if this pattern indicates a full emotional unwind or the groundwork for the next crypto cycle. What will it take to rekindle faith in this market? Only time will tell.

Possible Paths Ahead for Crypto

Experts estimate a significant chance that the crypto market will attempt a turnaround by mid-2026, fueled by potential regulatory clarity from the Trump administration. If Trump pushes for favorable legislation, sentiment could shift back towards optimism, possibly elevating market prices by 15-20%. However, if current trends persist, there’s a 60% probability that the overall sentiment will remain flat, with minor fluctuations that may not inspire confidence for serious investment. Investors are holding their breath, weighing strategies for both short and long-term engagement in the crypto space as they navigate this unpredictable landscape.

Echoes from the Space Race

A less familiar but fitting analogy can be drawn from the early years of the space race. Initially marked by enthusiasm and intense competition, the excitement faded when the reality of the challenges set in. Just as investors today face a barrage of hurdles in the crypto realm, moonshot ambitions in the 1960s faced setbacks that led to a plateau in public interest. However, as new technologies emerged, the racing spirit was reignited, showing that passion and innovation often thrive in the face of adversity. Just as the moon might have once seemed unreachable, the crypto realm too holds the potential for a resurgence that could surprise many.