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Bitcoin strategy: buying only when prices drop to 70%!

Bitcoin Strategy Sparks Debate | Buying Only on Deep Dips

By

Tunde Adebayo

Feb 13, 2026, 09:50 AM

Updated

Feb 13, 2026, 08:38 PM

2 minutes needed to read

A graph showing Bitcoin price dropping to $38,000 with an upward trend following

A growing number of people is firmly advocating for a buying strategy focused on waiting for Bitcoin prices to hit rock-bottom levels. Recent discussions highlight a split in sentiment about the state of the crypto market and the potential for steep drops in price this year.

The Focus on Price Corrections

A clear trend of price corrections is noted among market strategists. Historical observations show a steep decline in previous bear markets:

  • 2011: -93%

  • 2015: -86%

  • 2018: -84%

  • 2022: -77%

If this trend holds, analysts suggest Bitcoin could drop around 70% from its peak, possibly settling at approximately $38,000.

"While the masses panic or blindly buy at every small dip, I stick to the bare mathematics," stated one commentator.

Concerns About Current Market Dynamics

Recent comments reveal intense sentiment about the potential factors affecting Bitcoin's price. Some believe the market is oversold and unlikely to fall below significant levels. One commenter noted:

"No way it goes to even $40k unless something incredibly bad happens."

Others express concerns about broader economic issues in the U.S., suggesting that:

  • The ongoing tensions in Washington could affect overall market stability.

  • The job market and economy face significant challenges, contributing to uncertainties in the crypto market.

Divergent Perspectives on Market Entry

Various strategies dominate discussions on when to invest in Bitcoin:

  1. Price Points: Reserving purchases for much lower price points, like $35,000.

  2. Institutional Influence: Increased investments in Bitcoin from institutions and ETFs might mitigate deep drops.

  3. Patience vs. Panic: Many people are waiting for ideal buying conditions instead of rushing in, which appears to reflect a cautious approach after experiencing past losses.

Interestingly, one individual remarked:

"Previous cycles lacked significant institutional investment and ETFs like we see now."

Sentiment in the Community

Current feelings reflect a mix of optimism and caution:

  • Hope for deeper price drops is balanced by fears of missing out on potential gains.

  • People emphasize the need for patience, especially when anticipating dramatic market shifts.

Notable Insights

  • ๐Ÿ”ป Many oppose purchasing when prices are merely low, advocating for deeper corrections like the historical averages.

  • ๐Ÿ’ฌ "Waiting for the real bottom takes discipline," one person observed, highlighting the need for caution amidst volatility.

  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Strategies diverge greatly: while some advocate for automatic buys at set prices, others are prepared to wait indefinitely.

As people continue to dissect Bitcoin's path forward, the tension between market timing and long-term strategies will likely fuel ongoing conversations. Staying ahead in this fluctuating market demands not only patience but also a keen awareness of the larger economic landscape.