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Ben's bear market prediction: has he been wrong before?

Crypto Analyst Ben Stirs Debate | Is His Bear Market Streak a Cause for Concern?

By

Daniel Kim

Nov 24, 2025, 07:03 PM

Edited By

Lila Thompson

Updated

Nov 26, 2025, 07:19 PM

2 minutes needed to read

A man looking concerned while analyzing stock market charts with a bear symbol in the background.

A growing uproar surrounds crypto analyst Ben’s recent predictions of a bear market lasting until 2027. Many people are pushing back, questioning the reliability of his forecasts as they recall instances where he confidently missed the mark.

Ben Sticks to His Guns

In a heated discussion, Ben remains steadfast about a prolonged bear market, adding weight to the discourse around cryptocurrency trends. While some people respect his analytical depth, others doubt his accuracy. One participant remarked, "People always want to shit on Ben but he’s often right on big picture things." This mixed sentiment showcases the polarized view toward his insights.

The Analytical Approach vs. Skepticism

Some commenters appreciate Ben's straightforward, mathematical approach, noting he openly admits when he is wrong. "He’s always honest takes a mathematical approach free from hype," one person stated, showcasing the respect he garners despite his past inaccuracies.

However, skepticism remains. "My biggest disappointment with him is his risk metric. It was wildly wrong this cycle and he needs to address it," criticized another, highlighting a perceived flaw in his forecasting tools.

Revisiting Past Predictions

Ben’s prediction history reveals a pattern of missed calls:

  • 2021 Blow-Off Top: Predicted a Bitcoin rally, wrong turn.

  • Ethereum Predictions: Early optimism turned sour as market conditions changed.

  • Fall 2021 Forecast: Claimed "clear skies ahead" before a Bitcoin drop to $69k.

Despite this, many commenters pointed out that he’s been right before, maintaining that "he’s been right several times too". His ability to challenge occasions with contrarian views draws both applause and scrutiny.

Current Market Environment

Meanwhile, shifts in the market dynamics are worrying some. One user noted, "QE hasn’t started yet so this cycle is uncertain." As institutional capital begins to flow into crypto, many are curious how this will interact with Ben’s forecasts.

"Ben expects a bear market until October 2026. I think it’ll be closer to summer since the blow-off top didn’t happen," observed one participant, suggesting a potential change in the market’s landscape.

Key Insights from the Discord

πŸ”Ί Mixed opinions on Ben's accuracy: Some praise his honesty, others express disappointment in his risk metrics.

πŸ”» The market’s current sentiment is mixed, with hopes entwined with fears of extended bearish trends.

⭐ "Ben is a Bitcoin maximalist every time alt coins have done really well, Bitcoin maximalists have been wrong," pointed out another participant, demonstrating an ongoing debate about his leaning toward Bitcoin over altcoins.